Preseason Rankings
Seton Hall
Big East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#44
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.2#83
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#41
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#61
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
#1 Seed 2.3% 2.8% 0.6%
Top 2 Seed 5.2% 6.2% 1.6%
Top 4 Seed 13.1% 15.3% 5.5%
Top 6 Seed 23.2% 26.7% 10.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.2% 51.5% 27.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.6% 47.7% 25.1%
Average Seed 6.7 6.5 7.6
.500 or above 54.5% 60.8% 32.3%
.500 or above in Conference 55.1% 59.1% 40.8%
Conference Champion 6.8% 7.8% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 6.7% 13.0%
First Four4.5% 4.5% 4.6%
First Round44.0% 49.3% 25.8%
Second Round28.1% 31.8% 14.9%
Sweet Sixteen12.8% 14.6% 6.4%
Elite Eight5.9% 6.7% 2.9%
Final Four2.4% 2.8% 1.0%
Championship Game1.0% 1.1% 0.5%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Next Game: Winthrop (Neutral) - 77.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 13
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 41 - 014 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 124   Winthrop W 84-76 78%    
  Nov 27, 2020 26   @ Louisville L 71-77 31%    
  Nov 29, 2020 2   Baylor L 70-75 34%    
  Dec 02, 2020 93   @ Rhode Island W 78-76 56%    
  Dec 06, 2020 62   @ Penn St. L 77-79 44%    
  Dec 08, 2020 313   Wagner W 86-63 98%    
  Dec 11, 2020 79   DePaul W 80-74 71%    
  Dec 15, 2020 58   @ Xavier L 73-75 44%    
  Dec 17, 2020 45   @ Marquette L 77-80 40%    
  Dec 20, 2020 41   Providence W 76-73 59%    
  Dec 23, 2020 88   Georgetown W 81-74 74%    
  Mar 08, 2021 45   Marquette W 80-77 62%    
  Mar 08, 2021 58   Xavier W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 08, 2021 73   St. John's W 82-76 69%    
  Mar 08, 2021 34   Connecticut W 77-75 57%    
  Mar 08, 2021 12   @ Creighton L 73-81 26%    
  Mar 08, 2021 3   @ Villanova L 68-78 19%    
  Mar 08, 2021 51   Butler W 71-67 62%    
  Mar 09, 2021 73   @ St. John's L 79-80 49%    
  Mar 09, 2021 88   @ Georgetown W 78-77 54%    
  Mar 09, 2021 79   @ DePaul W 77-76 51%    
  Mar 09, 2021 34   @ Connecticut L 74-78 38%    
  Mar 09, 2021 12   Creighton L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 09, 2021 3   Villanova L 71-75 36%    
  Mar 09, 2021 41   @ Providence L 73-76 39%    
  Mar 09, 2021 51   @ Butler L 68-70 43%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.0 2.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.8 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 4.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.0 4.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.0 3.9 1.3 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.8 3.9 1.2 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 3.5 3.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 2.7 0.8 0.1 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.1 4.6 6.5 8.0 9.3 10.2 10.2 10.4 9.2 8.1 6.4 4.5 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 99.4% 0.8    0.7 0.1
17-3 82.2% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.0
16-4 53.7% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 33.2% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0
14-6 9.7% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 42.0% 58.0% 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.4% 100.0% 52.1% 47.9% 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.8% 100.0% 41.0% 59.0% 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.8% 100.0% 34.8% 65.2% 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.1% 100.0% 29.1% 70.9% 2.8 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.5% 100.0% 18.3% 81.7% 3.8 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 6.4% 100.0% 15.5% 84.5% 5.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 8.1% 97.8% 9.5% 88.2% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 97.5%
12-8 9.2% 87.9% 6.5% 81.3% 8.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 87.0%
11-9 10.4% 69.6% 5.0% 64.6% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.2 68.0%
10-10 10.2% 40.1% 2.5% 37.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.1 38.6%
9-11 10.2% 13.7% 1.8% 11.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.8 12.1%
8-12 9.3% 3.5% 0.5% 2.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.0 3.0%
7-13 8.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 0.1%
6-14 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.5
5-15 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-16 3.1% 3.1
3-17 1.9% 1.9
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 46.2% 6.4% 39.9% 6.7 2.3 2.9 4.0 4.0 4.8 5.3 4.6 4.6 3.4 3.1 2.9 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 53.8 42.6%